Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.007068 0.007910 0.008827 0.009906 0.011143 0.012520 0.014175
2025-03-30 0.005928 0.007117 0.008526 0.010332 0.012603 0.015388 0.019097
2025-04-06 0.004999 0.006272 0.007862 0.010018 0.012900 0.016672 0.022068
2025-04-13 0.004351 0.005651 0.007343 0.009742 0.013113 0.017768 0.024839
2025-04-20 0.003940 0.005271 0.007067 0.009717 0.013609 0.019251 0.028308
2025-04-27 0.003715 0.005110 0.007056 0.010035 0.014599 0.021535 0.033287
2025-05-04 0.003429 0.004827 0.006833 0.010003 0.015041 0.023017 0.037198
2025-05-11 0.003211 0.004617 0.006691 0.010066 0.015619 0.024764 0.041801
2025-05-18 0.002979 0.004366 0.006458 0.009954 0.015886 0.026009 0.045691
2025-05-25 0.002830 0.004226 0.006379 0.010076 0.016549 0.028002 0.051278
2025-06-01 0.002656 0.004031 0.006196 0.010001 0.016852 0.029377 0.055880
2025-06-08 0.002445 0.003761 0.005869 0.009647 0.016610 0.029700 0.058375
2025-06-15 0.002305 0.003603 0.005724 0.009614 0.016992 0.031335 0.064119
2025-06-22 0.002256 0.003592 0.005825 0.010037 0.018295 0.035006 0.075209
2025-06-29 0.002090 0.003372 0.005548 0.009733 0.018133 0.035628 0.079307
2025-07-06 0.001947 0.003179 0.005304 0.009466 0.018012 0.036315 0.083705
2025-07-13 0.001853 0.003065 0.005192 0.009442 0.018389 0.038148 0.091431
2025-07-20 0.001813 0.003045 0.005247 0.009749 0.019505 0.041838 0.105021
2025-07-27 0.001731 0.002941 0.005140 0.009718 0.019875 0.043822 0.114333
2025-08-03 0.001666 0.002867 0.005080 0.009779 0.020458 0.046418 0.126126
2025-08-10 0.001586 0.002758 0.004947 0.009671 0.020634 0.048006 0.135223
2025-08-17 0.001538 0.002706 0.004920 0.009789 0.021362 0.051155 0.150264
2025-08-24 0.001472 0.002616 0.004812 0.009716 0.021616 0.053071 0.161704